Author: Malcolm

Modelling the Risks from the FSO Safer Oil Tanker

The FSO SAFER is an oil supertanker moored off the coast of Yemen. Holding over a million barrels of oil – over four times that spilled in the Exxon Valdez disaster – it has been left abandoned and neglected since the outbreak of Yemen’s civil war in 2015. This has led to widespread international concern around the possibility of a spill or other release from the vessel, and the human, environmental and commercial impact this could have on the fragile ecosystems and society in which it is located.

With a UN-led operation to transfer oil from the decaying facility now underway, Murray will revisit work carried out between 2019 and 2021 by Riskaware, ACAPS and the Satellite Applications Catapult to support the UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO)
in understanding the potential consequences of a fire or explosion on board the vessel. This work involved distilling thousands of atmospheric and oil spill dispersion model runs into a handful of easily understood visualisations and impact assessments.

Murray will talk about the technical challenges and considerations when carrying out analyses of highly uncertain scenarios, as well as how to effectively communicate technically complex information to a non-technical audience without losing the message (or the concept of uncertainty!).

Brief Bio

Murray Purves is a technical leader and software developer with experience in the defence and security domains. His background is in the application of scientific modelling and simulation to real-world problems – particularly using atmospheric and marine transport and dispersion models. He has also had brief forays into the world of policy, including in arms control and public safety/security. He currently works for Dynamic Intelligence Solutions – an aerospace startup applying  artificial intelligence / machine learning (AI/ML) techniques for counter-unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) tracking and analysis applications.

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.

QED returns, 23^rd-24^th September 2023 – with Lucky Cooke, Andrew Smyth, Dan Friesen from Knowledge Fight podcast, and more!

Tickets to QED 2023 are on sale now! To get your ticket to the highlight of the skeptical calendar, visit qedcon.org/tickets.

QED, the weekend celebration of science, reason and critical thinking, returns for 2023 with another exciting line-up of main stage speakers, live podcast recordings, panel discussions, interactive workshops, and more.

This year, QED will be taking place on 23^rd-24^th September at Manchester’s Mercure Piccadilly Hotel, with tickets costing £149 for the weekend (£129 for students/under 18s).

As usual, every single ticket entitles the holder to entry all conference events across the weekend, including a night of comedy and magic on Saturday night, and our completely-free one day Skepticamp event on Friday 22^nd September.

Appearing at QED 2023 will be:

1. Lucy Cooke: best-selling author and broadcaster with a Masters in zoology, Lucy has created history documentaries for the BBC, National Geographic, ITV and Discovery.
2. Andrew Smyth: Aerospace engineer and baker, Andrew starred in the Netflix series Baking Impossible and made the 2016 final of The Great British Bake Off.
3. Dan Friesen: co-host of Knowledge Fight, a podcast that dissects right-wing propagandist Alex Jones, Dan worked as an expert consultant in the Sandy Hook defamation cases.
4. Professor Pragya Agarwal: Geospatial and behavioural data scientist, Pragya was awarded a Transmission Prize in 2022 for ‘making big complex scientific ideas accessible’.
5. Professor Jason Arday: Sociologist and writer known for his research on race and racism, Jason is the youngest black person ever appointed to a professorship at Cambridge.
6. Colin Angus: Senior Research Fellow and lead modeller in the Sheffield Alcohol Research Group, one of the world’s leading centres for alcohol policy research.
7. Dr Debbie Ging: Researcher on gender, sexuality and digital media, with a focus on anti-feminist men’s rights politics, incel subculture and the radicalisation of boys and men.
8. Dr Alice Howarth: Cancer cell biologist, open research advocate and science communicator, Alice is vice president of the Merseyside Skeptics Society, and deputy editor of The Skeptic.
9. Dr Joe Ondrak: OSINT Investigator tackling harm caused by online mis- and disinformation, analysing disinformation ranging from hostile state campaigns to domestic conspiracy groups.
10. Mick West: Author, retired software engineer, and creator of the site Metabunk, which uses crowdsourcing and technical analysis to investigate UFO cases.
11. Professor Chris French: Professor of Anomalistic Psychology and former editor of The Skeptic, Chris will be leading an interactive workshop on how to test paranormal claims.
12. InKredulous: Comedy panel show and stalwart of QED, with previous guests including Jon Ronson, Andy Zaltzman, Kate Smurthwaite, Steve Novella, Natalie Haynes and more.
13. Skeptics with a K: the longest-running skeptical podcast in the UK, featuring Mike Hall, Dr Alice Howarth, and Michael Marshall.
14. And much more, still to be announced.

So, don’t delay – grab your QED ticket today and we’ll see you in September!

The rise of AI is a complicated story about advanced research, emerging data oligopolies like Facebook and Google, and big tech venture capitalism. Until recently, the only people who used AI were boffins in University computer laboratories or characters in Hollywood films.

But AI is suddenly affecting everyone with a smartphone and a job. Recent advances in NLP (Natural Language Processing) have led to products like ChatGPT being able to write in a way that is indistinguishable from professional journalists, consultants and researchers.

In this talk, Leslie will explain how AI works, what makes it different from normal computing, and whether AIs are really going to steal your job. Also find out how he became an AI professor because of a misunderstanding over Star Trek when he was five years old.

Brief Bio

Professor Leslie Carr is the Head of the Web and Internet Science research group and a Director of the Web Science Institute at the University of Southampton. He started stand-up comedy in 2017 and is a confessional storytelling comedian with a warm and engaging stage presence, performing standup regularly in London and at comedy venues around the South Coast. In 2022 he wrote and performed a show with his daughter, about their family colliding with technology and asking the question “is it easier to teach computers or teenagers to act like humans?”

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.

Lockdown was a tough time for many. For freelancers like Stevyn Colgan it meant loss of work and an uncertain future. And so, with the world on hold, he decided to rethink the way he lived. Over the next two years he fixed his physical and mental health and became the happiest, fittest and healthiest he’d been in decades. But the way he did it was by looking back, not forward. He discovered that many of the ‘old ways’ found within folk tradition, witchcraft and druidism actually had strong foundations in science. There’s no woo woo in this talk – Colgan’s contention is that the best way for society to move forward is to learn from the past. Isn’t that the basis of all good science?

Bio

Stevyn Colgan is an artist, speaker, folkie, forager, educator, committee member of the Eccentric Club of Great Britain (est 1781) and the author of ten books. He’s been a chef, a police officer, a comics publisher, a brewer, a Hollywood movie monster maker and is currently a lecturer in criminal and forensic psychology, behavioural science and creative thinking at several UK universities. He was also, for a decade, one of the primary writers of the BBC TV show QI and was on the writing team that won the Rose D’Or for Radio 4’s The Museum of Curiosity. He’s delivered talks for TED, performed at the Edinburgh Fringe and spoken at hundreds of events and festivals all over the world. He’s also appeared on numerous radio shows and podcasts including No Such Thing as a Fish, Josie Long’s Shortcuts, Freakonomics and many more. Originally from Cornwall, he now lives on the Chiltern Hills with a seamstress, a needy pug and a sourdough starter called Bubbles.

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.

We all want to be well, right? Whether you’re a bit run down and just need a pick me up to get through the next working week, you’re suffering symptoms of a long-standing condition that you just can’t figure out or you’re reaching an age where you want security in your long-term health.

The wellness industry has become ever more popular in an age where chronic illnesses can go undiagnosed for years and access to medical support for mental ill-health is either prohibitively expensive or subject to long wait times. Women and other marginalised people are sometimes dismissed or overlooked in healthcare – where resources are already stretched and spending time really listening to a patient can be difficult even without biases.

To fill the gap, we often turn to the wellness industry; an amorphous, indefinable collection of well doers, businesses and practitioners who offer patients control over their health, empowerment to make medical choices that suit their needs and the gentle ear of a practitioner who’s always willing to listen.

But does the wellness industry really provide answers? Are women really empowered by the range of choices available to them? Is there really a solution to “wellness”?

Bio

Dr Alice Howarth is a scientist and skeptic who is also disabled and chronically ill. She’s spent years navigating the healthcare system while trying to learn how to manage her health conditions at the same time as working in academia and juggling a bunch of roles in the skeptical community.

As a podcaster with Skeptics with a K and writer for The Skeptic, Alice has researched a wide variety of wellness industry hacks and products and practitioners, and the reasons people might feel encouraged to make use of them.

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.

 

Why can’t we think straight when hungry? What’s the point of nightmares? And why can’t we forget embarrassing memories?

Emotions can be a pain. After losing his dad to Covid-19, Dean Burnett found himself wondering what life would be like without them. And so, he decided to put his feelings under the microscope – for science.

In this talk, Dean takes us on an incredible journey of discovery, stretching from the origins of life to the end of the universe. Combining expert analysis, brilliant humour and powerful insights into the grieving process, Dean uncovers how, far from holding us back, our emotions make us who we are.

Brief Bio

Dean Burnett, neuroscientist, lecturer, author, blogger, podcaster, pundit, science communicator, comedian and numerous other things, depending on who’s asking and what they need. Previously employed as a psychiatry tutor and lecturer at the Cardiff University Centre for Medical Education, Dean is currently an honorary research associate at Cardiff Psychology School, as well as a Visiting Industry Fellow at Birmingham City University.

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.

We hope to have the one and only Robin Ince to do a talk at Winchester Skeptics later in the year – but in the meantime, you can find him at our favourite bookseller, PG Wells, on Tuesday 2nd May.

Here is the address:

11 College Street, Winchester, Hampshire, SO23 9LZ.

We’ll be there – hope to see you too! You’ve been warned!

From an evolutionary perspective, religion presents something of a challenge. It is ubiquitous but in some cases religious cognition and behaviour can be costly and even dangerous while (to some) serving no obvious function. So why is religion found in every corner of the globe? Is it just a collection of highly successful memes or a “mind virus” as some dismissively label it?  is it the inevitable but largely benign by-product of minds highly evolved for social living? Or are there some real evolutionary benefits to religious cognition?

In this talk Kat will discuss existing perspectives from evolutionary perspectives on religion and discuss some of the new directions this field might explore.

Brief Bio

Dr Kat Ford is a board member of the Merseyside Skeptics Society and recently completed her PhD at The Centre for Culture and Evolution at Brunel University London.

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.

Skeptics of the Round Table takes place on the second Wednesday of each month from 7:00 pm.

Please join us if you can at the Bishop On The Bridge in Winchester for some informal Skeptical chat, food and drinks

This one will include our AGM. Please join us to hear about our plans. We’d love to hear your suggestions and your feedback!

Ask at the bar (booked by Clio or Skeptics), or look out for sign /name badges to find us.

Can An Imperfect Movement Save The World?

In this talk, Bors will talk about the evidence provided by climate science. He’ll also cover the historical precedents of successful non-violent resistance movements and the early successes of modern climate change mass movements such as Extinction Rebellion. What legacy will humans leave on the planet?

Bors trained as a social scientist and later as a climate scientist. For his day job, he runs a small research agency, Brains & Cheek. His evening job is Extinction Rebellion, where he is the lead editor of XR’s flagship talk: ‘Heading for Extinction (and what to do about it).’

His job is to keep the talk up-to-date, as well as to regularly deliver it to a range of audiences both online and live. When on XR protests, his favourite jobs are outreach and de-escalation. You’ll find him on the edge of protest marches and occupations, engaging with passers-by and angry motorists. He has been with XR since March 2019, and has no intention of stopping until the job is done.

Bors is a father of 3 boys, and wants to leave a liveable planet for them, and to his descendants, to the 7th degree.

He has stopped eating beef, pork and lamb, and drives an electric car, which he charges with his solar panels. He has stopped flying for business as well as for personal travel, and has offset all of the residual CO2 emissions of his family and his business, since 2010.

Standard Stuff

Talks are usually on the 4th Wednesday of every month,  at 7:00 for 7:30, at The Winchester Club in Winchester.  Please take a look at the FAQs for more info.

Admission is £5 which also gives you an entry in the book raffle. We take cash and major cards (cards preferred).

The event is in two parts – the talk and then a Q&A after the interval. We encourage you to support the venue by indulging in the available drinks before and during the event.

You are also welcome to join us for a drink in the bar after the event.